Anthropic's Prospectus Puts Account-Ban Revenue at 5-7% of Income—Pure Profit After Charging First
Haha, today I saw one point in Anthropic's latest prospectus that is too real.
I've always been curious whether a large chunk of Anthropic's revenue comes from account bans. Unexpectedly, they directly and boldly tell everyone this data.
The disclosed data: about 5%-7% is ban revenue, roughly corresponding to $1.65 billion to $2.31 billion, which is over ten billion RMB.
Moreover, this part isn't just revenue; it's basically pure profit.
Anthropic never first detects and tells you that you're not compliant; instead, it bans you after you've paid, and doesn't refund.
How much of this is contributed by Chinese users? Calling it a beast is well-deserved; it's basically equivalent to daylight robbery.
After we had quite a few Claude accounts banned before, I reverse-analyzed the local Anthropic code. Let me share it with you here so you know what it does.
- Every time you log into Claude, it records two pieces of data in local ~/.claude.json: one is accountUuid (account info), and the other is a device-level stable identifier called device_id in telemetry. If you don't clean it, it stays on your local machine forever.
If your account is banned and you don't clean the environment, device_id remains unchanged, causing a new account to be banned within seconds.
- Telemetry failure retry queue. Claude has local telemetry at ~/.claude/telemetry/1p_failed_events.*.json.
This data periodically sends some information about your local environment. If your node fluctuates, it records locally, then sends your real environment info when stable.
- Config rolling backup. Located at ~/.claude/backups/.claude.json.backup.*.
That is, if you've had old account login info locally, Anthropic automatically backs it up, and these backups also retain your old account info.
- OAuth login credentials. The local macOS keychain, ~/.claude/.credentials.json, stores old tokens and serial-number risk.
The above are the confirmed local info from analysis. There are also browser cookies, related environment variables in shell config, timezone, payment channels, nodes, etc., but I won't go into those.
However, these are only local records; the server-side ban algorithm is a black box. But I saw someone abroad using Claude on a physical machine, and I can only say it still didn't work. Even a normal American local user, if it thinks you're using it improperly, will get banned.
I can only advise everyone: don't blindly keep paying money to Anthropic. I have to admit that CC does have good capability and experience, but it's no longer far ahead. Codex, Kimi, Grok—you have way too many options.
Top 4 from juejin.cn, machine-translated. The original thread is authoritative.
Shouldn't we reflect? Without the current environment, Huawei wouldn't be short of chips, and AI models wouldn't be short of cards.
I always thought banned accounts could get refunds; turns out they can't?
That's absolutely outrageous.
Over ten billion is truly absurd.